Backtesting is a way to check how well a trading strategy would have worked in the past. It uses old data to see if the strategy is good.
What is Backtesting?
- It tests trading ideas using past market data
- Helps traders see if a strategy might work, before using real money
- Can be used for any trading idea that can be measured
Why is Backtesting Important?
- Shows if a strategy might make money
- Helps traders decide to use, change, or reject a strategy
- Very useful for complex strategies, like those used by computers
Problems with Backtesting
- Traders must be careful not to cheat when testing
- Should not use the same data to make and test a strategy
- Avoid testing too many ideas on the same data
How to Do Better Backtesting
- Use different sets of data for making and testing strategies
- Test the strategy on data from a different time period
- If results are similar in different tests, the strategy might be good